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BEA

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52 days ago

The US has amassed an arsenal of military assets in the Middle East that would allow it to launch an aerial bombing campaign against Iran

Growth in the US economy has slowed sharply, new data shows.

US…

3 months ago

The BEA reported that light vehicle sales were at 16.0 million in December on a seasonally adjusted annual basis (SAAR). This was up 1.9% from the sales rate in November, and down 4.9% from December…
This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The dashed line is the December 2025 seasonally adjusted annual sales rate (SAAR) of 311 thousand.

Note: "Heavy trucks - trucks …

Schedule for Week of January 4, 2026 ⊖

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

The key reports this week are the December employment report and Housing Starts for September and October.

Other key indicators include the November Trade Deficit, November Job Openings, December IS…

Question #5 for 2026: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2026? ⊕

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…
From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 3rd Quarter 2025 (Initial Estimate) and Corporate Profits (Preliminary)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.3 percent in the thir…

4 months ago

Statement here.

Fed Chair Powell press conference video here or on YouTube here, starting at 2:30 PM ET.

Here are the projections.  
The BEA's estimate for first half 2025 GDP showed real growth …

FOMC Preview: 25bps Rate Cut Expected ⊖⊖

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a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Most analysts expect the FOMC to reduce the Fed Funds rate by 25bps at the meeting this week to a target range of 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent.    Market participants currently expect two additional rate c…
From the BEA: Personal Income and Outlays, September 2025
Personal income increased $94.5 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in September, according to estimates released today by the U.S. Bure…
The BEA reported that light vehicle sales were at 15.6 million in November on a seasonally adjusted annual basis (SAAR). This was up 2.0% from the sales rate in October, and down 5.6% from November …

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