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PCE
since
auto-detected in 114 stories
7 days ago
The core PCE price index was expected to increase 3% from a year ago in December. GDP was projected to rise at a 2.5% pace in Q4.
59 days ago
Question #5 for 2026: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2026? ⊕
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…
61 days ago
Question #6 for 2026: What wiill the Fed Funds rate be in December 2026? ⊖
Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…
66 days ago
BEA: Real GDP increased at 4.3% Annualized Rate in Q3 ⊕⊕
From the BEA: Gross Domestic Product, 3rd Quarter 2025 (Initial Estimate) and Corporate Profits (Preliminary)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 4.3 percent in the thir…
68 days ago
Ten Economic Questions for 2026 ⊕
Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2025.
Below are my ten questions for 2026 (I've been doing this online every year for 21 years!). These are just questions; I'll follow up with so…
Below are my ten questions for 2026 (I've been doing this online every year for 21 years!). These are just questions; I'll follow up with so…
70 days ago
Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2025 ⊖
found
a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
- Review ■■■
- Ten Economic Questions ■■■
- Will ■■■
- Altos Research ■■■
- House Prices Indices ■■■
- National ■■■
- FHFA ■■■
- Freddie Mac ■■■
- ICE ■■■
- Single ■■■
- New Home ■■■
- YoY ■■■
- Multi Housing Starts ■■■
- Single Family Housing Starts ■■■
- YTD ■■■
- Average ■■■
- CES ■■■
- Atlanta Fed ■■■
- Wages ■■■
- Hourly Earnings ■■■
- Current Employment Statistics ■■■
- Fed Funds ■■■
- PCE ■■■
- Fed ■■■
- Outlays ■■■
- Labor Force Participation Rate ■■■
- July ■■■
- FOMC ■■■
- November ■■■
- Policy ■■■
- GDP ■■■
At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2025). I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet - and some data is …
71 days ago
YoY Measures of Inflation: Services, Goods and Shelter ⊕
found
a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
SPECIAL NOTE: October prices (data not collected) were averaged between September and November for these graphs.
Here are a few measures of inflation:
The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had…
Here are a few measures of inflation:
The first graph is the one Fed Chair Powell had…
76 days ago
Goldman on Shelter Inflation ⊕
found
a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
A few brief excerpts from a Goldman Sachs research note on shelter inflation:
[R]apid multifamily supply growth amid a cooler labor market, slower immigration, and an already rising vacancy rate is l…
78 days ago
FOMC Projections: GDP and Unemployment Revised Up; Inflation Down ⊖⊖
Statement here.
Fed Chair Powell press conference video here or on YouTube here, starting at 2:30 PM ET.
Here are the projections.
The BEA's estimate for first half 2025 GDP showed real growth …
Fed Chair Powell press conference video here or on YouTube here, starting at 2:30 PM ET.
Here are the projections.
The BEA's estimate for first half 2025 GDP showed real growth …
81 days ago
FOMC Preview: 25bps Rate Cut Expected ⊖⊖
found
a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk
Most analysts expect the FOMC to reduce the Fed Funds rate by 25bps at the meeting this week to a target range of 3-1/2 to 3-3/4 percent. Market participants currently expect two additional rate c…