30 days ago

Federal Reserve holds interest rates as Trump piles on pressure ○

found 2026 › Jan › 28 (Wed) @ 19:55 UTC

a story from The Guardian ⚠️ › International

Fed voted to pause cuts to interest rate, which currently sits between 3.5% and 3.75%, after slashing it three times in fall

The US Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged after its first rate-s…

56 days ago

Question #1 for 2026: How much will the economy grow in 2026? Will there be a recession in 2026? ○

found 2026 › Jan › 02 (Fri) @ 14:05 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…

Question #2 for 2026: How much will job growth slow in 2026? Or will the economy lose jobs? ⊕

found 2026 › Jan › 01 (Thu) @ 20:50 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…

59 days ago

Question #5 for 2026: What will the YoY core inflation rate be in December 2026? ⊕

found 2025 › Dec › 29 (Mon) @ 21:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…

61 days ago

Question #6 for 2026: What wiill the Fed Funds rate be in December 2026? ⊖

found 2025 › Dec › 28 (Sun) @ 13:45 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Earlier I posted some questions on my blog for next year: Ten Economic Questions for 2026. Some of these questions concern real estate (inventory, house prices, housing starts, new home sales), and I…

68 days ago

Ten Economic Questions for 2026 ⊕

found 2025 › Dec › 21 (Sun) @ 14:45 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Here is a review of the Ten Economic Questions for 2025.

Below are my ten questions for 2026 (I've been doing this online every year for 21 years!). These are just questions; I'll follow up with so…

71 days ago

Review: Ten Economic Questions for 2025 ⊖

found 2025 › Dec › 18 (Thu) @ 18:30 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

At the end of each year, I post Ten Economic Questions for the following year (2025). I followed up with a brief post on each question. Here is review (we don't have all data yet - and some data is …

72 days ago

MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest Weekly Survey ⊖

found 2025 › Dec › 17 (Wed) @ 13:05 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey

Mortgage applications decreased 3.8 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (M…

76 days ago

Goldman on Shelter Inflation ⊕

found 2025 › Dec › 12 (Fri) @ 22:50 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

A few brief excerpts from a Goldman Sachs research note on shelter inflation:

[R]apid multifamily supply growth amid a cooler labor market, slower immigration, and an already rising vacancy rate is l…

78 days ago

Mortgage Rates: The New Normal ⊖

found 2025 › Dec › 11 (Thu) @ 20:10 UTC

a story from Calculated Risk › Calculated Risk

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Mortgage Rates: The New Normal

A brief excerpt:

In June 2023, I wrote: Could 6% to 7% 30-Year Mortgage Rates be the "New Normal"?

At that time,…