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2026 › August › 13
Wisconsin
5 days ago
Structural problems in political forecasting resurface just months ahead of November’s midterms
Democratic moderates get a surprising reprieve in Wisconsin ⊕
The party has narrowly dodged a socialist insurgency in a crucial swing state
Wisconsin, Michigan primaries expose limits of polls and prediction markets ⊖
It's the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets' odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. senate primary in Michigan.
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